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CDC Estimates: Fatality Rate For COVID-19 Drops Again


Fraud, Scams & Kickbacks 0 Comments 09/28/2020 

- September 27, 2020

What’s are the real chances of dying if you are infected with COVID-19? You’ll probably be surprised how low they are according to new numbers from the Center for Disease Control. We’ll state those numbers simply for those of you who aren’t crazy about math.

The CDC’s new estimate, for the first time, is broken down by age groups. Here is what the CDC calls its “current best estimate” of chances of dying from the virus if you get infected:

1 out of 34,000 for ages 0 to 19;

1 out of 5,000 for ages 20 to 49;

1 out of 200 for ages 50 to 69; and

1 out of 20 for ages 70 and up.

Here’s another way to look at the same numbers. If you get infected, your chances of surviving are as follows:

Age Group                                           Probability of Survival

0-19:                                                    99.997%
20-49:                                                  99.98%
50-69:                                                  99.5%
70+:                                                     94.6%

The CDC’s numbers are actually published as what’s called the “Infection Fatality Ratio” or IFR. The relevant portion of their chart is reproduced below. We’ve just stated their numbers a different way and rounded a bit. IFR includes, as those who were “infected,” those who got the virus but never got sick or displayed symptoms.

The CDC’s “best estimate” may be off and it offered other scenarios, also shown in the chart below. They are all very low, however, as you can see. For those age 20-49, for example, even under the worse case scenario, the IFR is only .0003. That means your chances of dying even if you got infected would be 1 out of 3,333.

Estimates of COVID’s lethality have been dropping regularly. In March, when most of the nation went into lockdown, Dr. Anthony Fauci estimated the mortality rate at about 2% and the World Health Organization pegged it at about 3.4%. Both are far higher than the current CDC estimate.

Those earlier numbers, which were far more frightening, got extensive press coverage. Very little media attention, however, has gone toward the new numbers.

Source: CDC, https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scenarios.html


   - November 19, 2020A team of Irish medical and public health professionals recently published a White Paper entitled “COVID-19 Alternative Strategy: A Case for Health and Socioeconomic Wellbeing,” calling for an “evidence-based” approach to pandemic management. In the paper, the team provides a cost-benefit analysis of lockdowns and scrutinizes their overall efficacy while ...  READ MORE
- Fielden Nolan (nolanf),  11/19/2020 
   - September 18, 2020AbstractBackground:Observational evidence suggests that mask wearing mitigates transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). It is uncertain if this observed association arises through protection of uninfected wearers (protective effect), via reduced transmission from infected mask wearers (source control), or both.Objective:To assess whether rec...  READ MORE
- Fielden Nolan (nolanf),  11/18/2020 
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- Fielden Nolan (nolanf),  11/17/2020 
   Download the PDF attachment below....  READ MORE
- Fielden Nolan (nolanf),  11/14/2020 
   Download the PDF attachment by clicking Download below....  READ MORE
- Fielden Nolan (nolanf),  11/14/2020 
   Download the PDF by clicking the attachment link below....  READ MORE
- Fielden Nolan (nolanf),  11/14/2020 
   LInk: https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/global-covid-19/shielding-approach-humanitarian.htmlSee Jon Rappoport's view on this document: https://blog.nomorefakenews.com/2020/11/02/cdc-plans-covid-concentration-camps/This document presents considerations from the perspective of the U.S. Centers for Disease Control & Prevention (CDC) for implementing the shielding approach in...  READ MORE
- Fielden Nolan (nolanf),  11/02/2020 
  

Association of American Physicians and Surgeons

Definitive study establishes conclusively not only that masks don't work, but WHY.
Category: Published Studies: Masks are INEFFECTIVE
curated by Marilyn M. Singleton, M.D., J.D. – http://marilynsingletonmdjd.com/Updated September 26, 2020IntroductionCOVID-19 is as politically-charged as it is infectious. Early in the COVID-19 pandemic, the WHO, the CDC and NIH’s Dr. Anthony Fauci discouraged wearing masks as not useful for non-health care workers. Now they recommend wearing cloth face coverings in public setting...  READ MORE
- Fielden Nolan (nolanf),  10/18/2020 
   - October 06, 2020[Open the link above to to view the charts which reveal there is no correlation (or "clear science") behind the use of masks and rates of "infection".] Excerpt:In case it isn’t obvious, these charts fail to show any correlation between mask mandates (which presumably increase the wearing of masks) and reductions in COVID-19 infections. If you l...  READ MORE
- Fielden Nolan (nolanf),  10/07/2020 
   From: https://www.gpadacenter.org/faqs-ada-small-business-and-face-mask-policies- July 10, 2020The ADA and Small Business: Frequently Asked Questions About Face Mask Policies and Serving Customers with Disabilities.The Great Plains ADA Center has received many questions regarding face mask policies and the ADA from the business community. We have collected a summary of these questions and our...  READ MORE
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